← Leaderboard·Manifesto rating·June 2025 election manifesto
Rank 19 of 39

Adrian Gabriel

The manifesto centres on housing supply reform through the Guernsey Housing Plan, a range of alternative tax instruments including a territorial corporate tax, a tiered zero/fifteen corporate framework, environmental and luxury taxes, and a review of the income tax cap, alongside opposition to GST on its own. It also covers eastern seaboard infrastructure, the Bridge regeneration project, seabed leasing for wind farms, healthcare investment, assisted dying, and environmental protection. Most pledges state a direction without accompanying figures, timelines or legislative references, and the manifesto contains a significant volume of general values-based text alongside its substantive sections.

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Overall · out of 100
“A respectable sketch”

The five dimensions

Select one to jump to the reasoning behind its score.

Weighted into the overall score
52
/ 100

Ambition

Weight 15%
“A credible stretch”

The manifesto covers housing, taxation, infrastructure, health, environment and assisted dying, giving it reasonable breadth. The taxation section is the most stretching element, proposing a territorial corporate tax, a tiered zero/fifteen framework, environmental taxes, a luxury goods tax, and reviewing or abolishing the income tax cap. The remaining sections, however, largely restate the candidate's continuation of existing programmes such as the Guernsey Housing Plan, the Bridge regeneration project and the eastern seaboard development, which limits the overall reach of the vision.

36
/ 100

Tangibility

Weight 25%
“Broad commitments”

The housing section names specific mechanisms, including incentives for private developments, modular construction, energy efficiency measures and enhanced landlord and tenant protections, but no figures, timelines or legislative references accompany them. The taxation section lists a range of named revenue instruments without quantification or sequencing. Elsewhere, pledges such as investing in mental health services, improving healthcare access and supporting third sector volunteers carry no figures, dates or named mechanisms, making the majority of commitments directional rather than specified.

55
/ 100

Realism

Weight 20%
“Needs a tailwind”

The manifesto acknowledges the structural deficit and explicitly opposes 'a Goods and Services Tax (GST)' on its own, while proposing a range of alternative revenue sources. Those alternatives are named but uncosted, and no revenue source or saving is identified for the spending pledges on health, infrastructure or environment. The reliance on multiple novel tax instruments, each requiring legislative change, without any sizing of their combined yield means the fiscal picture is engaged with but not resolved. The housing pledges build on the existing Guernsey Housing Plan, which is a more grounded foundation.

62
/ 100

Deliverability

Weight 30%
“Needs a majority and a willing P&R”

The Scorecard records Gabriel as President of the Committee for the Environment and Infrastructure. The housing, environmental protection, infrastructure and seabed leasing pledges are in the same subject area as that role. The taxation pledges, health commitments, assisted dying support and diversity commitments depend on other committees and a States majority of 20 of 38 deputies. Assisted dying in particular depends on a States-wide legislative process. The eastern seaboard and Bridge regeneration pledges involve the Guernsey Development Agency and harbour bodies, adding further dependencies.

68
/ 100

Low waffle

Weight 10%
“General in places”

A substantial portion of the manifesto consists of general statements of intent and values rather than specific commitments, including repeated affirmations of community spirit, collaboration and the unique character of island life. Passages such as 'Together, we can ensure that Guernsey remains a wonderful place to live, work, and raise a family' and 'I will work collaboratively with all of the elected assembly' carry no actionable content. The closing section moves entirely into motivational register. The housing and taxation sections offer more substantive material but do not offset the volume of general framing elsewhere.

← Back to the leaderboardRank 19 of 39 · Scored by the Guernsey Deputy Scorecard team

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