← Leaderboard·Manifesto rating·June 2025 election manifesto
Rank 13 of 39

Aidan Matthews

The manifesto covers housing, population, education, health, tax, economy, environment, transport, accountability and government reform. It names a 15% corporate tax rate, a migration-to-new-builds licence ratio, a reinstated States loan scheme for first-time buyers, a deposit savings scheme with tax deductions, a Public Accounts Committee or Audit Commission, a Freedom of Information Law, and a legally backed duty of candour. Health and education pledges are in the same subject areas as the candidate's recorded committee roles. Most pledges outside those areas lack figures, dates or named savings to offset their cost.

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Overall · out of 100
“A respectable sketch”

The five dimensions

Select one to jump to the reasoning behind its score.

Weighted into the overall score
62
/ 100

Ambition

Weight 15%
“A credible stretch”

The manifesto ranges across housing, population, tax, health, education, accountability, transport, environment, law and government reform, committing to a corporate tax rate of 15%, a new housing commission, a Freedom of Information Law, a legally backed duty of candour, and a Public Accounts Committee or Audit Commission. That breadth represents a genuine stretch beyond narrow constituency concerns. The vision is integrative, linking migration policy to house-building rates and framing housing as a cross-cutting crisis, though the connecting fiscal architecture is thin.

48
/ 100

Tangibility

Weight 25%
“Broad commitments”

A small number of pledges carry specific detail: the 15% corporate tax rate, the proposal to link migration licences to the rate of new builds, the first-time buyer States loan scheme and the deposit savings scheme with tax deductions, and the call to reinstate a Public Accounts Committee. Most other pledges, including waiting time reductions, mental health expansion, PEH next phase, renewable energy through offshore wind, and road safety improvements, are stated without figures, dates or named mechanisms. The housing section lists several instruments but does not quantify targets or timelines for any of them.

50
/ 100

Realism

Weight 20%
“Needs a tailwind”

The manifesto acknowledges that GST has been voted through and sets a conditional position rather than an unconditional reversal, which reflects the position following the States vote. The proposal to raise corporate tax to 15% is presented as a revenue source to support fiscal balance, though no estimate of yield is given and no savings are named to meet the remaining structural pressure. The call for spending control to achieve a balanced budget is stated without identifying which lines would be cut. Several pledges, including the first-time buyer loan scheme, healthcare staff housing, and extended parental choice for independent college fees, carry cost implications that are not offset by named savings or revenue measures within the manifesto.

55
/ 100

Deliverability

Weight 30%
“Needs a majority and a willing P&R”

The Scorecard records Matthews as Vice-President of the Committee for Health and Social Care and a Member of the Committee for Education, Sport and Culture. The health pledges, including reducing waiting times, progressing PEH modernisation, expanding mental health provision and supporting locally qualified healthcare workers, are in the same subject area as the Health and Social Care committee role. The education pledges, including school autonomy, the sixth form centre and parental choice for independent colleges, are in the same subject area as the Education, Sport and Culture committee role. All other pledges, covering housing, tax, population, transport, accountability, government reform, and law and order, depend on other committees and a States majority of 20 of 38 deputies.

58
/ 100

Low waffle

Weight 10%
“Reasonably specific”

The introductory section and several policy passages contain general statements of values, such as 'I believe in working together to find common ground', 'Protecting our island's natural environment is of vital importance', and the closing remarks on freedom of expression and open discussion, that do not carry specific commitments. The economy section is almost entirely directional, naming support for the finance sector, the visitor economy and digital economy without mechanism or measure. Against that, the housing, tax and accountability sections contain a higher proportion of named instruments, keeping the overall waffle level moderate rather than high.

← Back to the leaderboardRank 13 of 39 · Scored by the Guernsey Deputy Scorecard team

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