← Leaderboard·Manifesto rating·June 2025 election manifesto
Rank 26 of 39

Andrew Niles

The manifesto organises its content under three headings covering the economy, the community and public-sector decision-making. It uses data on nominal economic growth, property prices and population change to frame the housing and growth arguments. Its concrete commitments include converting disused office and retail space to residential use, pursuing air and sea connectivity as an economic enabler, developing a skills and education strategy spanning public and independent sectors, and seeking greater tax benefits for charities. Most pledges are stated as directions and priorities rather than costed proposals with named mechanisms or timeframes.

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Overall · out of 100
“Needs a second draft”

The five dimensions

Select one to jump to the reasoning behind its score.

Weighted into the overall score
55
/ 100

Ambition

Weight 15%
“A credible stretch”

The manifesto sets out three broad priority areas covering the economy, community and public-sector reform, and connects them to themes of fiscal discipline, housing development, skills strategy and governance improvement. The scope reaches across several policy domains and includes a stated intention to seek a senior committee role in order to act on these priorities. The connecting vision, however, remains at the level of orientation rather than a defined programme, with no named investment envelope or cross-committee reform package to anchor the ambition.

32
/ 100

Tangibility

Weight 25%
“Broad commitments”

Specific data points appear in the economic section, including a claimed 28 per cent nominal growth figure, a 27 per cent rise in property prices and a 24 per cent rise in rents, which give the housing argument some grounding. Beyond those figures, the commitments are stated as directions rather than specific mechanisms: converting ageing office and retail space to residential use is named, but without a target number of units, a planning instrument or a timeframe; greater tax benefits for charities are called for without a rate or a revenue offset; and the skills strategy is described in terms of integration across sectors without a named delivery vehicle.

52
/ 100

Realism

Weight 20%
“Needs a tailwind”

The manifesto acknowledges inflationary pressure, the limits of population-led growth and the need to balance the books, which reflects a reasonable reading of fiscal constraints. The housing and connectivity pledges are directional but broadly consistent with existing policy debates rather than dependent on untested revenue. The call for greater tax benefits for charities and business incentives is made without identifying a revenue source or an offsetting saving, which leaves that commitment unanchored. The governance reform pledge, calling for a faster and more accountable assembly, depends on broad agreement across the States rather than any single committee action.

60
/ 100

Deliverability

Weight 30%
“Needs a majority and a willing P&R”

The Scorecard records Niles as a Member of the Policy and Resources Committee. The fiscal discipline and balanced-approach-to-finances pledges are in the same subject area as that role. The housing, connectivity, skills, charity tax and governance pledges fall outside P&R's fiscal remit and depend on other committees and a States majority of 20 of 38. The manifesto's stated intention to seek a senior committee role is noted as an aspiration in the text; the Scorecard's verified record is a Member role on P&R.

72
/ 100

Low waffle

Weight 10%
“General in places”

A substantial portion of the text is composed of general statements of intent and value framing, for example calls to stop isolated and divisive debates, to harness collective skills, and to make the right choices for Guernsey, without a specific mechanism or figure following them. The three-priority structure is repeated across the manifesto in headline form without adding detail on each pass. The sections on community and public-sector effectiveness consist largely of directional language, and the healthcare section sets out a principle of sustainability without any named service, funding line or reform.

← Back to the leaderboardRank 26 of 39 · Scored by the Guernsey Deputy Scorecard team

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