← Leaderboard·Manifesto rating·June 2025 election manifesto
Forward GuernseyRank 5 of 39

Gavin St Pier

The manifesto sets out six named priority areas with a mix of specific figures and directional pledges. Quantified commitments include an Additional Earned Allowance on the first £100,000 of earnings for under-30s, a 30% intermediate housing discount, a £600,000 threshold for document duty relief, a zero/15 corporate rate change, a 1% annual baseline spending reduction targeting £25m per year by 2029, and a capital programme review within three months. Health, climate and education sections are less specific. The corporate tax change depends on coordination with Jersey, and the Additional Earned Allowance is not matched to a named revenue offset.

How the party counts
Own
56
Party
57
Overall
57

+1 from the party. The party’s manifesto rates higher than the member’s own, so the member takes the party’s rating as a minimum.

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Overall · out of 100
“A respectable sketch”

The five dimensions

Select one to jump to the reasoning behind its score.

Weighted into the overall score
72
/ 100

Ambition

Weight 15%
“Bold, with conditions”

The manifesto spans six named core priorities (housing, education, health, economy, taxation, climate transition) and couples them with a stated delivery programme, which represents a broad cross-government vision. Notable reach includes a wholesale corporate tax rate change from zero/10 to zero/15, an offshore wind farm, cannabis regulation, assisted dying legislation, and a structured six-step fiscal path. The stated intention to chair a principal policy-making committee signals an expectation of an executive rather than a peripheral role, and the framing as Guernsey's first policy-based party adds a constitutional dimension to the ambition.

63
/ 100

Tangibility

Weight 25%
“Taking shape”

A meaningful portion of the manifesto carries specific figures: an Additional Earned Allowance on the first £100,000 of earnings saving up to £20,000, a 30% discount on market value for intermediate housing, a £600,000 threshold for document duty relief, a zero/15 corporate rate, a 1% annual spending reduction saving £25m per year by 2029, and a capital programme review within three months. However, several pledges in health, education, connectivity and climate lack any figure, date or named mechanism, and the six-step fiscal path does not aggregate its revenue and saving lines into a single net position.

58
/ 100

Realism

Weight 20%
“Needs a tailwind”

The manifesto acknowledges fiscal pressure explicitly through its six-step plan and names both a spending-side lever (1% baseline reduction) and a revenue-side lever (zero/15 corporate rate). The capital programme review within three months is a plausible early action. However, the Additional Earned Allowance creates a tax relief without naming a corresponding revenue offset, the zero/15 change depends on coordinating with Jersey and broader agreement beyond Guernsey's control, cannabis regulation requires legislative change, and several spending commitments in health, education and infrastructure are not matched to named funding sources or savings.

44
/ 100

Deliverability

Weight 30%
“Relies on other decision-makers”

The Scorecard records St Pier as a Member of the Committee for Employment and Social Security. Some pledges relating to employment conditions, early-years support and adult upskilling are in a subject area adjacent to that role. The manifesto's stated intention to seek a chair of a principal policy-making committee is reported as an intention only; the Scorecard's verified role is a Member position. The housing, health, education, climate, tax reform and corporate rate pledges depend on other committees and a States majority of 20 of 38 deputies. The zero/15 corporate rate additionally depends on coordination with Jersey.

52
/ 100

Low waffle

Weight 10%
“Reasonably specific”

The manifesto mixes specific, numbered commitments with passages that remain directional, such as 'Focusing on retaining local staff by ensuring they feel appreciated, supported, and properly rewarded' and 'Investing in pastoral staff to provide prompt support to students when needed.' The opening and closing sections contain general statements about dysfunction, teamwork and the value of a party approach that do not carry specific commitments. The balance across the document is roughly even: the housing and fiscal sections are relatively concrete, while health, education and climate sections lean more directional.

← Back to the leaderboardRank 5 of 39 · Scored by the Guernsey Deputy Scorecard team

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