← Leaderboard·Manifesto rating·June 2025 election manifesto
Rank 11 of 39

George Oswald

The manifesto focuses primarily on health and social care, where Oswald commits to a hospital modernisation review, a Mental Health Champion, primary care review, social care reform to free hospital beds, and workforce planning. On taxation, it calls for a tiered consumption tax with protection for those already struggling, accepting that some consumption tax is inevitable. Beyond health, it supports housing reform, first-time buyer assistance, early years investment and a working group on education. Most pledges are stated without figures, dates or funding mechanisms.

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Overall · out of 100
“A respectable sketch”

The five dimensions

Select one to jump to the reasoning behind its score.

Weighted into the overall score
58
/ 100

Ambition

Weight 15%
“A credible stretch”

The manifesto covers health, social care, housing, taxation, education, and mental health, with the hospital upgrade and a tiered consumption tax representing the most substantive commitments. The tax position, calling for a 'broad, balanced' approach that is 'honest about GST' and a tiered consumption tax with higher rates on conspicuous consumption, is a meaningful stance. The scope is wide but most pledges outside health are stated at a high level, and there is no connecting fiscal programme linking spending ambitions to revenues.

38
/ 100

Tangibility

Weight 25%
“Broad commitments”

The health section carries the most specific commitments: a Mental Health Champion appointment, a clinical review of hospital modernisation Phase 2 priorities, a review of the primary care model, and a working group of educators, government and industry leaders on education. However, none of these carry a figure, a date or a funding mechanism. The taxation section names a tiered consumption tax with protection for those 'already struggling' but provides no rate, threshold or implementation timeline. Pledges on housing, early years and infrastructure are directional without further detail.

55
/ 100

Realism

Weight 20%
“Needs a tailwind”

The manifesto acknowledges a 'time of financial challenge' and frames the hospital upgrade as needing clinical scrutiny rather than unconditional delivery, which reflects awareness of resource constraints. The position on a tiered consumption tax accepts that 'some form of consumption tax seems inevitable', which is an acknowledgement of fiscal pressure. Key worker housing, social care reform and mental health investment are presented as priorities without named savings or revenue sources to fund them, and the tiered consumption tax design is described in principle only.

65
/ 100

Deliverability

Weight 30%
“Achievable this term”

The Scorecard records Oswald as President of the Committee for Health and Social Care. The health pledges, including social care reform, the hospital modernisation review, the Mental Health Champion appointment, workforce planning, the primary care review and key worker housing for health staff, are in the same subject area as that recorded role. Pledges on education, general housing reform, first-time buyer support, early years investment, assisted dying and the tiered consumption tax depend on other committees and a States majority of 20 of 38 deputies.

62
/ 100

Low waffle

Weight 10%
“Reasonably specific”

Several passages, such as 'I'm not here for politics, I'm here to get things done', 'evidence-based decision-making, not political games', and 'a belief that Guernsey can and must do better', are statements of intent or values without accompanying commitments. The introductory and biographical sections add further general text. The health pledges are more direct, but the 'Beyond Health' section returns to high-level aspirational language, particularly on infrastructure and skills.

← Back to the leaderboardRank 11 of 39 · Scored by the Guernsey Deputy Scorecard team

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