Sasha Kazantseva-Miller

The manifesto sets out a cross-cutting programme spanning tax reform, housing acceleration, healthcare transformation, connectivity, AI adoption and economic development, with named mechanisms such as a Community, Infrastructure and Biodiversity Levy, a new Air Policy Framework, Heritage Guernsey and the Guernsey Development Agency. The tax reform section articulates a structural ambition to rebalance the revenue base away from employment taxation, increase corporate contributions and protect low- and middle-income households. The breadth and interconnection of these themes place this well above a single-issue or maintenance platform.

Several pledges carry named mechanisms or specific references: four States-owned development sites are named (Castel, King Edward Hospital, Raymond Falla and Swissville), specific planning tools such as fast-track planning and an Island Development Plan review are identified, and named initiatives such as the Guernsey Development Agency, Heritage Guernsey, the Innovate Guernsey delivery plan, a universal Health ID and a Bailiwick-wide Digital and AI Framework appear. However, most pledges are stated without figures, timelines or quantified targets, and the tax reform section, while structured, identifies principles rather than rates, thresholds or revenue estimates.

The manifesto recognises the structural revenue problem created by Zero-10 and the ageing population, and frames tax reform as necessary rather than optional, which is internally coherent. The tax reform principles are directional rather than costed, and no revenue source or saving is named against the spending pledges in healthcare, education or capital investment. The reliance on a Fundamental Services Review to determine what should be publicly funded is a credible process commitment, but it defers the harder choices. The housing and connectivity pledges are grounded in existing mechanisms, making them more achievable on their own terms.

The Scorecard records Kazantseva-Miller as President of the Committee for Economic Development and Vice-President of the Committee for Housing. Pledges in the same subject areas as those roles, including housing acceleration, development site prioritisation, the Guernsey Development Agency, the Air Policy Framework, the Innovate Guernsey delivery plan and the Digital and AI Framework, are in subject areas aligned with those recorded roles. Pledges relating to tax reform, healthcare, education and the Fundamental Services Review are in subject areas covered by other committees and depend on those committees.

The manifesto mixes specific named initiatives with sections that are primarily directional, for example the public services efficiency section states that 'addressing them will require sustained effort from deputies, the civil service, and the wider community' without specifying how. The 'building bridges' and 'challenging the status quo' passages describe past conduct in general terms. The priority themes each carry an objective statement, but several objectives, such as 'create a more sustainable, affordable healthcare system', are aspirational without accompanying mechanisms in the page text.