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Guernsey · Known Unknowns · by committee portfolio

The questions still outstanding, and the data that would answer them.

Every other tab in this group charts what the States of Guernsey publish. This one lists what they do not: 59 statistics across 8 portfolios that the island would need to answer its own fundamental questions, each with the evidence of its absence in the States’ own words.

Suspended, of 59
9Suspended, of 59
Frozen, of 59
1Frozen, of 59
Never collected, of 59
23Never collected, of 59
Published, unusable, of 59
26Published, unusable, of 59
Number of known unknowns by committee portfolio and status
PortfolioSuspendedFrozenNever collectedPublished, unusableTotal
Policy & Resources2·338
Economic Development2·114
Employment & Social Security2·327
Health & Social Care··4711
Education1·269
Home Affairs··628
Housing21115
Environment & Infrastructure··347

10 of the 59 were being answered until 2024. The States’ own 2026 release calendar lists 7 releases with no publication date, covering population, employment and earnings, GVA and GDP, household income and poverty, because they “could not be provided in 2025 as a result of operational changes in areas that supply data to the Data and Analysis Service”. The rest were never collected, or exist only as an answer to a written question, a Freedom of Information response, or an image in a policy letter.

Every proxy figure is dated by its reference period, not by the year of the document that carried it. Status definitions are at the foot of the page.

Policy & Resources Committee

Policy & Resources

How many people live here, what does the public purse actually buy, and is government getting more for its money? The statistical service sits in this portfolio, and every suspended series on this page is its own.

8 unknowns · what is known
Suspended1 of 59

How many people live in Guernsey today, and is the number rising or falling?

The statistic not collated

A current population figure. The last one is for 31 December 2023.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Electronic Census and the quarterly population bulletin stopped after the December 2023 figure, published 29 October 2024. In July 2025 the States said the historical outward-migration figures had been under-stated, so the last published total is itself probably too high, by up to 3%. No restart date has been given. Guernsey has not held a traditional census since 29 April 2001; the electronic census that replaced it is the series now suspended.

the next publication could include a downward revision of the total population of up to 3% - a larger revision than is normal.

States of Guernsey, "Work continues to restore quarterly publications of population, employment and earnings figures", 28 July 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Quarterly Population, Employment and Earnings Bulletin, population 64,781

31 December 2023, published 29 October 2024

The data that would answer it

Resumption of the quarterly bulletin with the revised back-series and a published revisions note, so that every per-head figure on the island (GDP, crime, housing) has a denominator again.

What is known: Quality of Life

Suspended2 of 59

Are working-age islanders leaving, and who is replacing them?

The statistic not collated

Net migration by age band since 2023, on the corrected basis.

Why the question cannot be answered

Under-40s were 44.0% of the population at end-2023, down from 49.0% in 2007. Whether that decline has continued cannot be known: the age-structure tables come from the suspended Electronic Census, and the States have said the outward-migration component of the old figures was wrong. Even when it was published, migration by age came in four bands only, from 0 to 15 up to 85 and over, too coarse to show whether school leavers and graduates come back.

these issues are likely to have caused historical outward migration statistics (i.e. the number of people moving away from Guernsey) to be under-stated.

States of Guernsey, "Work continues to restore quarterly publications of population, employment and earnings figures", 28 July 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Annual Electronic Census Report 2023, age structure and migration tables

year to 31 March 2023

The data that would answer it

Annual inward and outward migration by five-year age band, published on the corrected basis, with a cohort measure of how many 18 to 30 year olds are still resident five and ten years on.

What is known: Quality of Life

Published, unusable3 of 59

How much public money has been written off on projects that were abandoned or delivered nothing?

The statistic not collated

Named, itemised write-offs and impairments of failed or abandoned capital and IT projects.

Why the question cannot be answered

Until 2021 the States did not capitalise capital spending; it was written off in the year it was spent, so money spent designing something never built left no trace to impair later. Fixed assets have been recognised since the 2022 Accounts and the 2024 set was the first fully compliant with international public sector standards, so impairment losses now exist. But they appear as a single aggregate line, and non-capitalised project costs are expensed in one total, with no project named against either. Scrutiny said as much of the 2025 Accounts.

members found it difficult in some instances to identify clearly within the Accounts the full financial implications of significant programmes, including major digital transformation initiatives.

Scrutiny Management Committee, Letter of Comment on the States of Guernsey Accounts 2025, 19 June 2026

The nearest thing that exists

States of Guernsey Accounts 2025, Appendix III spend to date by project

31 December 2025, spend only, no approved cost alongside

The data that would answer it

An itemised note to the Accounts listing every project impaired, written off or expensed as non-capitalised cost, with the sum originally approved for it.

What is known: The Size of the State

Published, unusable4 of 59

Do capital projects come in at the price the Assembly approved, and by how much do they overrun?

The statistic not collated

A standing register showing, for every major project, original approved cost, current approved cost, spend to date and forecast outturn.

Why the question cannot be answered

Spend to date is published per project in the Accounts, without the approved cost beside it. Portfolio-wide views have been one-off policy letters. Scrutiny’s comment on the 2026 portfolio report says the letter does not reconcile costs, funding and the basis of estimates across the portfolio. Policy & Resources committed to a publicly accessible portfolio report from July 2026; whether it carries the original approvals is what will decide if this entry can come off the page.

the Policy Letter does not present a fully reconciled and transparent view of total project costs, funding sources, and the basis of estimates across the portfolio.

Scrutiny Management Committee, Letter of Comment on the Major Projects Portfolio Report 2026, 17 April 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Major Projects Portfolio Report 2026, P.2026/19

early 2026, a one-off forecast by scheme

The data that would answer it

The promised portfolio report, published on a fixed cycle and archived, with original approval, every revision, spend and forecast outturn per project.

What is known: The Size of the State

Never collected5 of 59

Is a public sector growing faster than the population delivering more per pound, or just costing more?

The statistic not collated

Any measure of public service output or productivity, by service.

Why the question cannot be answered

Core-government headcount rose 18.6% in a decade while the island’s population barely moved, and the Accounts report the cost of that in detail. They report nothing about what it bought. Scrutiny’s letter on the 2025 Accounts says the same: no insight into productivity or into whether extra spending is linked to better outcomes. The UK has published a public service productivity index since 1997.

the Accounts provide limited insight into how expenditure growth is being challenged, what productivity improvements have been achieved, or how additional expenditure is being linked to demonstrable improvements in outcomes.

Scrutiny Management Committee, Letter of Comment on the States of Guernsey Accounts 2025, 19 June 2026

The nearest thing that exists

States of Guernsey Accounts, Pay Costs & FTE appendix

2025, inputs only

The data that would answer it

Output and unit-cost measures per committee published with the Accounts, building towards a public service productivity index on the ONS model.

What is known: The Size of the State

Never collected6 of 59

How will islanders know whether the government’s four-year plan is working?

The statistic not collated

Quantified indicators with baselines and targets for the Government Work Plan 2026 to 2029, reported against annually.

Why the question cannot be answered

The plan sets out five priorities and named outcomes in narrative form. It carries no indicators, baselines or targets, and progress is to be reported twice in the term, in mid-2027 and at the end. The States publish an annual Better Life Indicators report, but it is not tied to the plan’s actions.

Update reports on the progress of the GWP will be published in mid-2027 and at the end of the term.

States of Guernsey, Government Work Plan 2026 to 2029

The nearest thing that exists

Guernsey Annual Better Life Indicators Report

2024 edition, wellbeing measures not tied to the plan

The data that would answer it

An outcomes dashboard for the plan with named indicators, baselines and targets, updated annually rather than twice a term.

Never collected7 of 59

How open is the States to requests for information, and is it getting better or worse?

The statistic not collated

Any official statistics on Freedom of Information requests: volumes, outcomes, or response times.

Why the question cannot be answered

Guernsey has no Freedom of Information law. Requests are handled under a voluntary Code of Practice, so the 20-working-day response window is a target, not a legal deadline, and nobody is required to report against it. The disclosure log publishes individual response letters but no aggregate figures. Every outcome and turnaround figure on this site is Bridgehead’s own analysis of those letters.

The nearest thing that exists

Bridgehead analysis of every published response letter, 2014 to 2026

25 March 2014 to 20 August 2026

The data that would answer it

An annual FOI report, as every UK department produces: requests received, outcomes by exemption, and the share answered within the Code’s 20 working days, by committee.

What is known: Information Freedom & Transparency

Published, unusable8 of 59

Is the public service getting sicker, and what does that cost?

The statistic not collated

A published sickness-absence series for the States workforce.

Why the question cannot be answered

Only two figures exist, for 2023 and 2025, and both were provided to a deputy in answer to a written question and reported by Guernsey Press. Total sick days rose from about 60,000 to about 67,000, an average of 10.8 to 11.4 days per employee. No intervening years, no breakdown by committee, and no cost were published.

The nearest thing that exists

Two Rule 14 answers, 2023 and 2025 totals only

2023 and 2025

The data that would answer it

Annual sickness absence per FTE by committee, split short- and long-term, with the agency and locum cost of covering it, in the Accounts’ Pay Costs & FTE appendix.

What is known: The Size of the State

Committee for Economic Development

Economic Development

Is the economy growing, is it getting more productive, and are the people in it being paid more in real terms? None of the three can be answered for any year after 2023.

4 unknowns · what is known
Suspended9 of 59

Is the economy growing, and is it getting more productive?

The statistic not collated

Gross Value Added, GDP and factor income per worker for 2024 and 2025.

Why the question cannot be answered

The last GVA and GDP bulletin covers 2023 and was issued in September 2024. The 2024 edition sits on the release calendar’s undated list. The bulletin also carried the island’s only productivity measure, factor income per worker by sector, so that stopped with it; no hours-worked measure has ever existed. Even the series that exists cannot be read back before 2009, because the 2017 method change restated GDP only that far.

Various publications (listed below) could not be provided in 2025 as a result of operational changes in areas that supply data to the Data and Analysis Service. The publication dates for associated statistics will be added to this calendar when there is more certainty regarding the supply of the raw data.

States of Guernsey Data and Analysis, Publication Release Calendar 2026, published 5 December 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Guernsey Annual GVA and GDP Bulletin 2023 (First Estimates)

2023, issued 24 September 2024

The data that would answer it

Annual GVA and GDP for 2024 and 2025, a quarterly indicator of activity built from the mandatory Economic Activity Return that already exists, and a real-terms GVA per hour worked series.

What is known: Economy

Suspended10 of 59

Are islanders being paid more in real terms, and is the labour market tightening or loosening?

The statistic not collated

Median earnings, employment by sector, registered unemployment and Job Centre vacancies for any quarter after June 2024.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Quarterly Population, Employment and Earnings Bulletin carried all of them, including the only skills-shortage signal the island has, vacancies advertised with the Job Centre by sector. The June, September and December 2024 editions are all undated, and nothing has appeared for 2025 or 2026. The Committee for Employment & Social Security set 2026 benefit rates knowing the earnings figure it uprates against was missing.

data relating to median earnings as at 31st December 2024 are not yet available.

Committee for Employment & Social Security, Contributory Benefit and Contribution Rates for 2026, P.2025/113, para 2.9, 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Quarterly Population, Employment and Earnings Bulletin, 32,067 employed

employment and earnings June 2024, unemployment September 2024

The data that would answer it

Resumption of the quarterly bulletin with the 2024 back-fill, a standalone monthly Job Centre release, and a biennial employer skills survey giving hard-to-fill vacancies by occupation.

What is known: Economy

Published, unusable11 of 59

What is tourism actually worth to the island?

The statistic not collated

Visitor spend with a disclosed method and a reliable sample.

Why the question cannot be answered

Visitor numbers, bed nights and accommodation occupancy are published quarterly and are sound. The headline that matters, around £151m of spend in 2025, is described in the release as an estimate with no method given, and the survey behind visitor behaviour is an opt-in subset of those who completed an exit interview.

Information from the 2025 Visitor Survey is based upon a much smaller sample of visitors; a subset of those that completed an exit interview with a fieldworker who then also opted to self-complete an online Visitor Survey afterwards.

States of Guernsey, Guernsey Travel and Visitor Annual Report 2025, 10 February 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Travel and Visitor Annual Report 2025, 282,028 visitors

2025, quarterly bulletin continues

The data that would answer it

A published spend methodology with sample size and confidence interval, per-night spend by accommodation type, and a tourism satellite account.

What is known: Economy

Never collected12 of 59

Are the lifeline air routes viable and reliable, route by route?

The statistic not collated

Route-level load factors and punctuality for the States-owned airline.

Why the question cannot be answered

Aurigny publishes network-wide punctuality monthly and total passengers annually. Its 2024 annual report sets a load-factor target without disclosing the level, and the States’ own 2024 inquiry into the airline reported on-time performance for the network as a whole only. Whether the Alderney or Southampton routes pay their way is not a published fact.

The nearest thing that exists

Aurigny monthly network punctuality, within 15 and 60 minutes

January 2024 onwards, network-wide

The data that would answer it

A quarterly table by route: sectors flown, seats, passengers, load factor, on-time performance and cancellations.

What is known: Transport

Committee for Employment & Social Security

Employment & Social Security

Are islanders better off than five years ago, how many are poor, and can the funds that pay for their old age and care last? The income series have stopped, and the committee is setting 2026 benefit rates on earnings data from 2024.

7 unknowns · what is known
Suspended13 of 59

Are islanders better off than they were five years ago?

The statistic not collated

Household income for any year after 2022.

Why the question cannot be answered

Only two comparable points have ever been published, 2017 and 2022, and between them real median household income fell 10.0%. The 2023 report is on the undated list. Whether that fall has continued through three years of high inflation is not known.

Various publications (listed below) could not be provided in 2025 as a result of operational changes in areas that supply data to the Data and Analysis Service. The publication dates for associated statistics will be added to this calendar when there is more certainty regarding the supply of the raw data.

States of Guernsey Data and Analysis, Publication Release Calendar 2026, published 5 December 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Household Income Estimates Report 2022, median gross £55,116

2022, incorporating the August 2025 corrigendum

The data that would answer it

The annual household income report as designated, with a consistent real-terms series from 2017, so the effect of the tax reform package can be measured against a baseline.

What is known: Living Standards

Suspended14 of 59

How many islanders are living in poverty, and how many of them are in work?

The statistic not collated

The relative-poverty rate for 2023 onwards, and any in-work poverty rate.

Why the question cannot be answered

A nine-year annual run exists, 2014 to 2022: 22.3% below 60% of median income after housing costs in 2014, a low of 16.5% in 2019, then 18.9% in 2022 and rising. The next edition is undated on the calendar. The trend broke off exactly as it turned upward. The States resolved in 2019 to improve data on in-work poverty; the reports that would have carried it are the ones now suspended.

Various publications (listed below) could not be provided in 2025 as a result of operational changes in areas that supply data to the Data and Analysis Service. The publication dates for associated statistics will be added to this calendar when there is more certainty regarding the supply of the raw data.

States of Guernsey Data and Analysis, Publication Release Calendar 2026, published 5 December 2025

The data that would answer it

The poverty report resumed annually, with the child, pensioner and working-household splits, so the direction since 2022 is known.

What is known: Living Standards

Never collected15 of 59

How many islanders rely on a food bank?

The statistic not collated

Any official count of food-bank use.

Why the question cannot be answered

No States statistic exists and the operating charity publishes no series of its own. Figures that circulate come from a funder’s annual review and from the local press, in four incompatible units: requests, people, visits and households. A one-visit-per-month cap means every one of them understates need by construction.

The nearest thing that exists

Food insecurity, Wellbeing Survey three-item measure, 13.9% in six months

2023, first wave, no comparator

The data that would answer it

A quarterly count of distinct households supported, on one definition, published alongside the Income Support caseload, as the Trussell Trust does for the UK.

What is known: Living Standards

Never collected16 of 59

Could islanders withstand a shock to their income?

The statistic not collated

A household savings rate, at any cadence.

Why the question cannot be answered

No national-accounts savings rate is published. The Household Expenditure Survey 2023-24 asked, for the first time, how long households could manage on savings: 41% hold less than one month’s income. Because the question is new, there is nothing to compare it with, and the survey runs roughly every five years.

The nearest thing that exists

Household Expenditure Survey, four-band savings distribution

2023-24, a baseline with no prior point

The data that would answer it

The savings question repeated annually in the Wellbeing Survey, and a household saving ratio derived from the national accounts once GVA publication resumes.

What is known: Economy

Published, unusable17 of 59

How much less are women paid than men, and is the gap closing?

The statistic not collated

An hours-adjusted gender pay gap, and any gender earnings figure since June 2024.

Why the question cannot be answered

The only States measure is a pair of medians in the quarterly bulletin, £39,155 for women against £46,088 for men in the year to June 2024, which the bulletin itself says is unadjusted for hours worked. It therefore cannot separate lower pay from shorter hours. And it is in the suspended bulletin, so even that figure has not moved since.

a measure of total earnings from all employee roles, unadjusted for the number of hours worked

Guernsey Quarterly Population, Employment and Earnings Bulletin, section 6, 29 October 2024

The nearest thing that exists

Median earnings by sex, four quarters to June 2024

June 2024

The data that would answer it

An hourly gender pay gap from Revenue Service earnings and hours data, and mandatory reporting for large employers including the States itself.

What is known: Economy

Never collected18 of 59

How many disabled islanders are there, and how many are in work?

The statistic not collated

A disability employment rate, and a prevalence figure newer than 2012 on a consistent definition.

Why the question cannot be answered

The 2012 Disability Needs Survey estimated 4,000 islanders with a long-term condition and significant difficulty. The 2023 Wellbeing Survey asks a different question, long-term condition alone, and gets 36.8%. Neither survey reports an employment rate for disabled people, and no other source does. Guernsey passed a discrimination ordinance in 2023 with no baseline against which to judge it.

The nearest thing that exists

Disability Needs Survey 2012

2012, one wave

The data that would answer it

A disability question on the Rolling Electronic Census or an annual labour force survey, giving prevalence and the employment rate by age on the UK definition.

What is known: Living Standards

Published, unusable19 of 59

Will the fund that pays for care homes run out, and when?

The statistic not collated

An actuarial review of the Long-term Care Insurance Fund more recent than 31 December 2019.

Why the question cannot be answered

The 2026 contribution rates were set against actuarial reviews covering 2015 to 2019, which projected the fund exhausted by 2053. Six years of care-cost inflation, an ageing population and a private care-home market the States themselves described in 2024 as needing stabilisation have happened since. A review as at end-2024 would be due on the five-year cycle; none has been published.

These reviews covered the period 1st January 2015 to 31st December 2019 and projected that ... the Long-term Care Insurance Fund would be exhausted by 2053.

Committee for Employment & Social Security, Contributory Benefit and Contribution Rates for 2026, P.2025/113, para 3.1, 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Government Actuary’s Department reviews as at 31 December 2019

2015 to 2019, presented February 2021

The data that would answer it

Publication of the actuarial review as at 31 December 2024 with updated exhaustion dates under current policy, and a commitment to the five-year cycle.

What is known: Living Standards

Committee for Health & Social Care

Health & Social Care

How many islanders are waiting, for how long, and does the care they get work? The one waiting-time series ends this year, and much of what is known arrived as an answer to a written question.

11 unknowns · what is known
Published, unusable20 of 59

How many islanders are waiting for hospital care, for how long, and will we still be able to tell next year?

The statistic not collated

A regular count of all patients waiting, by specialty and wait band, in a series that survives 2027.

Why the question cannot be answered

The only published waiting measures are the contract KPIs, 2018 to 2025, and every target was missed in 2025: outpatients 64%, inpatients 57% against 95%. They give an inpatient list count once a year, 2,184 at end-2025, no outpatient count, and no monthly series. The 2025 report states it is the last in this format. Unless the old measures are carried alongside the new framework, the one run of data that shows the deterioration ends at its worst point.

will be the last annual KPI report in this format.

States of Guernsey, Secondary Healthcare Contract 2025 KPI Report, August 2026

The data that would answer it

A monthly referral-to-treatment dataset: patients waiting by specialty and stage with a weeks-waited distribution, and the 2018 to 2025 measures published on the old definitions for at least two years after the new framework starts.

What is known: Healthcare

Published, unusable21 of 59

Is demand on the Emergency Department rising?

The statistic not collated

A multi-year series of Emergency Department attendances.

Why the question cannot be answered

The contract KPI report publishes the share of patients seen within four hours back to 2018, but the number of people coming through the door appears only as a single year-on-year comparison: 24,153 in 2024 against 23,957 in 2023. A performance percentage with no activity series behind it cannot distinguish a busier department from a slower one.

The nearest thing that exists

Four-hour performance, 88% against a 95% target

2025, series from 2018

The data that would answer it

Monthly attendances, admissions from ED and bed occupancy, published as NHS England’s A&E statistics are, so the four-hour figure can be read against the load.

What is known: Healthcare

Never collected22 of 59

How long do children wait for mental health help, and what are they presenting with?

The statistic not collated

Published child and adolescent mental health waiting times, and referral reasons.

Why the question cannot be answered

Referral counts exist only because someone asked under the Freedom of Information Code. Before 2017 referrals were not routinely recorded at all. The service does not code why a child is referred, so the presenting problem cannot be counted without reading every file. No waiting-time figure is published; the only one on record, roughly 18 months for a child ADHD assessment, came from another FOI answer.

Referral data for 2015 and 2016 is recorded as "not available" because referral information was not routinely recorded at that time.

States of Guernsey FOI response, CAMHS Referral Data, 17 April 2026

The nearest thing that exists

FOI tables of CAMHS referrals, accepted and not accepted

2017 to 2025, one-off

The data that would answer it

Quarterly child and adult mental health waiting times, referral to assessment and assessment to treatment, with coded presenting-need categories.

What is known: Healthcare

Published, unusable23 of 59

How many islanders go without a GP or a dentist because of the fee, and is it getting worse?

The statistic not collated

An annual measure of cost-related non-attendance, GP consultation volumes and appointment fees.

Why the question cannot be answered

Primary care in Guernsey is charged at the point of use, so this is a live question. The only States measure is a self-reported survey question asked every five years: in 2023, 26.8% had not attended a dentist and 22.3% a GP because of cost. The States do not collect fee levels; the widely quoted average GP fee came from a broadcaster’s survey of practices.

wellbeing and lifestyle surveys that have been carried out every five years since 1988

States of Guernsey, Guernsey and Alderney Wellbeing Survey 2023, January 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Wellbeing Survey 2023, cost barriers to health services

2023, against 2018

The data that would answer it

An annual primary care dataset: grant-funded consultations by practice, a published fee schedule, and a yearly rather than five-yearly cost-barrier indicator.

What is known: Healthcare

Never collected24 of 59

Are there enough care-home beds, how many people are waiting for one, and who is paying?

The statistic not collated

Care-home capacity, occupancy and waits for a placement as a series, and any data on the assets of those who pay.

Why the question cannot be answered

Bed numbers appeared once, in the December 2024 policy letter on stabilising the private care-home market: about 700 in 2023, rising to a projected 1,050 by 2038. Self-funder numbers are a single 2023 snapshot. The same letter states that the States hold no information on individuals’ assets, so the effect of any care-cost contribution on households cannot be modelled from official data.

Unlike income, information on the value of assets held by individuals is not collected by the States.

Committee for Health & Social Care, "The Need to Stabilise the Private Care Home Market", P.2024/114, para 7.23, 19 December 2024

The nearest thing that exists

Delayed transfers of care, median 298 days a month

2025, contract KPI

The data that would answer it

Quarterly care-market statistics: registered beds by type, occupancy, people assessed and awaiting placement in the community and in hospital, and the long-term care benefit caseload.

What is known: Healthcare

Never collected25 of 59

Do islanders diagnosed with cancer survive as long as people in England or Jersey?

The statistic not collated

One-year and five-year cancer survival rates for Guernsey.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Channel Islands Cancer Report, produced for the islands by NHS England’s registration service, covers incidence, mortality and staging for 20 cancer types. Survival is not in it: the word does not appear in the 113-page report. England publishes net survival by site every year.

This report provides basic statistics on cancer in residents of the Channel Islands between 2009 and 2022.

Channel Islands Cancer Report incorporating data up to 2022, National Disease Registration Service, January 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Channel Islands Cancer Report, incidence and mortality

2009 to 2022, irregular

The data that would answer it

Net survival by cancer site for Guernsey residents, computed by the registration service on the same basis as England.

What is known: Healthcare

Never collected26 of 59

Do poorer islanders live shorter, sicker lives than richer ones?

The statistic not collated

Any health outcome broken down by income or deprivation.

Why the question cannot be answered

Life expectancy, avoidable mortality and drug and alcohol deaths are published for the island as a whole. Nothing splits them by income, tenure or small area, and the poverty report that provides the island’s only deprivation measure is itself suspended. Guernsey cannot say whether its health gap is wider or narrower than England’s, where the difference in healthy life expectancy between richest and poorest is about 19 years.

The nearest thing that exists

Wellbeing Survey 2023, low mental wellbeing by housing tenure and income band

2023, self-reported, one domain only

The data that would answer it

Life expectancy, avoidable mortality and self-reported health by income quintile or small area, linking the census, Revenue Service and death registration data the States already hold.

What is known: Healthcare

Published, unusable27 of 59

Are fewer islanders dying of things that need not have killed them?

The statistic not collated

An annual avoidable-mortality series.

Why the question cannot be answered

Avoidable mortality is published ad hoc. Only the 2021 and 2024 editions exist, the latter revised in April 2026. The headline fell from 186 to 158 per 100,000 between 2019-21 and 2022-24, but the report itself cautions that the confidence intervals are too wide to call the fall real. The UK publishes the measure every year.

The nearest thing that exists

Avoidable mortality, 158 per 100,000, provisional

2022-24

The data that would answer it

The measure published annually on rolling three-year periods, with the preventable and treatable components separated as the ONS does.

What is known: Healthcare

Published, unusable28 of 59

Is islanders’ mental wellbeing getting better or worse?

The statistic not collated

A mental-wellbeing figure that can be compared across survey waves.

Why the question cannot be answered

The 2023 Wellbeing Survey headline, 12.1% with low wellbeing, is sample-relative and cannot be set against 2018’s 18.0%. On fixed England thresholds the two waves read 10.5% and 10.1%, no significant change. Two numbers that look like a trend, and are not one, is worse than no number.

The nearest thing that exists

Wellbeing Survey, low wellbeing on fixed thresholds

2023 against 2018, 10.5% against 10.1%

The data that would answer it

The headline reported on fixed thresholds in every wave, and the survey run at least every three years rather than five.

What is known: Healthcare

Published, unusable29 of 59

Is the health service keeping the staff it pays to bring in, and what does agency cover cost?

The statistic not collated

Vacancies, agency spend, off-island recruitment and retention, as a published series.

Why the question cannot be answered

The only figures exist because a deputy asked. The Rule 14 answer gives relocation payments 2020 to 2024, states plainly that the cost of staff who joined within the period could not be isolated, and records that 42% of the 866 off-island recruits had already left. Agency spend was last disclosed to a broadcaster in 2023. The 2025 KPI report says reliance on agency and locum staff has reduced, and gives no figure.

The data that would answer it

An annual HSC workforce report: establishment, vacancies, turnover, agency and locum spend by staff group, and the share of off-island hires still in post after one, two and three years.

What is known: Healthcare

Published, unusable30 of 59

Is drug and alcohol harm rising, and is treatment reaching the people who need it?

The statistic not collated

Annual drug-related deaths, and a time series for referrals, assessments and treatment.

Why the question cannot be answered

Drug-poisoning deaths are published only as three-year age-standardised rates, with confidence intervals the report itself calls very wide, and never as annual counts. The only charted treatment figures are a 2023 snapshot lifted from the preamble of a written question, quoting the Combined Substance Use Strategy annual report. Seizure counts were given term-to-date, with no annual split.

As the number of deaths from this cause are low the confidence intervals for the rates are very wide.

States of Guernsey Public Health, Guernsey Mortality Trends 2024, October 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Community Drug & Alcohol Team referrals, assessments and treatment entries

2023 only, via Rule 14 ref. 2025-12

The data that would answer it

Annual drug-misuse deaths by substance on the ONS definition, with a consistent referral-to-treatment funnel, in a Combined Substance Use Strategy report published on a fixed date.

What is known: Healthcare

Committee for Education, Sport & Culture

Education

Did the biggest education reform in a generation work, for whom, and at what cost? The attainment measure changed underneath the reform, and no published figure splits results by need, income or behaviour.

9 unknowns · what is known
Suspended31 of 59

Did ending selection at 11 raise attainment across the board?

The statistic not collated

A consistent GCSE measure that spans the last selective and first non-selective cohorts.

Why the question cannot be answered

The long-run measure, five or more GCSEs at grade 4 or above including English and Maths, was discontinued from 2023. The 2020 to 2022 results were never published on it at all. What replaced it, grade 4 or above in English and Maths only, is a materially easier bar. The reform took effect in 2023, the measure changed in 2023, and no single published figure straddles the join.

The nearest thing that exists

Attainment 8, published by school

2019, 2023 and 2024 comparable points

The data that would answer it

Both measures published side by side for every cohort from 2019, by school and by prior attainment band, so the redistribution and the overall level can be read separately.

What is known: Education

Never collected32 of 59

Do poorer children in Guernsey do worse at school, and by how much?

The statistic not collated

The attainment gap between pupils on uniform allowance, the free-school-meals equivalent, and their peers.

Why the question cannot be answered

The cohort is counted: 1,382 pupils, 22.6%, have received uniform allowance in the last six years of their school career. Attainment 8 is then published by school and year only, with no disadvantage, need or gender split, and the colleges are excluded. Jersey publishes the equivalent gap for its Jersey Premium pupils every year. Guernsey has never published one.

1,382 (22.6%) in receipt of uniform allowance (now or during the last 6 years of their school career)

Committee for Education, Sport & Culture, Education Annual Report 2025, 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Attainment 8 by States school

2024/25, States schools only

The data that would answer it

Attainment 8 and grade 4+ English and Maths for uniform-allowance pupils against the rest, by school, in every Education Annual Report.

What is known: Education

Published, unusable33 of 59

Are children with additional needs getting a fair education?

The statistic not collated

Additional learning needs by type and setting, with attainment, attendance and destinations for those pupils.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Education Annual Report gives a single headcount, 1,250 pupils or 20.4% with an additional learning need, and prints the identical figure in the 2024 and 2025 editions. No outcome is ever split by need. The rise in special-school placings reported in the press in March 2026 had no published source behind it.

The nearest thing that exists

Education Annual Report, additional learning needs headcount

unchanged between the 2024 and 2025 editions

The data that would answer it

An annual statistical release: pupils by primary need, setting and phase, with attainment, attendance and post-16 destinations for pupils with and without additional needs.

What is known: Education

Published, unusable34 of 59

Is behaviour in States secondary schools deteriorating?

The statistic not collated

Annual suspensions and permanent exclusions by school, pupil count and reason, including the grant-aided colleges.

Why the question cannot be answered

The only figures came from a Freedom of Information request answered eleven months after it was made. They show secondary suspended sessions rising from 580 in 2018-19 to 2,861 in 2023-24, counted in sessions rather than pupils, with no permanent exclusions and no college data, since the colleges sit outside the Code. Neither Education Annual Report carries a suspension figure.

Every instance of a suspension is recorded against a set of pre-defined reasons.

States of Guernsey FOI response, school suspensions, 20 November 2025

The nearest thing that exists

FOI table of suspended sessions by school year

2018-19 to 2023-24, one-off

The data that would answer it

A suspensions and exclusions release each autumn: pupils suspended, sessions lost, permanent exclusions, by school and reason, with the colleges reporting as a condition of grant.

What is known: Education

Published, unusable35 of 59

How many children are missing so much school that their education is at risk?

The statistic not collated

A persistent-absence rate, the share of pupils below 90% attendance, by school and phase.

Why the question cannot be answered

Only whole-school average attendance is published, 86.8% across secondaries in 2023/24. An average cannot show whether the shortfall is spread thinly or concentrated in a few hundred children who are barely there. The Committee names reducing persistent absence as an aim in its own annual report and publishes no rate for it.

The nearest thing that exists

Whole-school attendance percentages by school

2020/21 to 2024/25, Education Annual Reports

The data that would answer it

Persistent (below 90%) and severe (below 50%) absence rates by school and phase, termly, as England publishes.

What is known: Education

Published, unusable36 of 59

Can Guernsey staff its schools without agency teachers, and why do teachers leave?

The statistic not collated

Teacher vacancy rate, turnover and reasons for leaving, by phase, annually.

Why the question cannot be answered

Snapshots surface in statements and written answers: 27 agency staff in a teaching headcount of 621 in September 2024. The Committee’s own Rule 14 answer says application data is destroyed after twelve months and exit-survey data cannot be split out for primary teachers. Scrutiny’s review of recruitment and retention was never completed.

in compliance with the data retention policy, this information is retained for only 12 months.

Committee for Education, Sport & Culture, reply to Rule 14 questions from Deputy Burford, ref. 2022-38, June 2022

The nearest thing that exists

Statement by the President of ESC, teaching headcount and agency count

September 2024, one-off

The data that would answer it

An annual school workforce release: FTE, vacancies at a census date, agency use, leavers and turnover by phase, and exit-survey reasons.

What is known: Education

Published, unusable37 of 59

What happens to the one in five 16-year-olds who do not stay in full-time education or an apprenticeship?

The statistic not collated

A rate for 16 to 18 year olds not in education, employment or training, and full leaver destinations within the year.

Why the question cannot be answered

The annual report publishes a participation rate, 82% of 16-year-olds in full-time education or apprenticeships in 2023/24, on a two-year lag. It does not say how many of the other 18% are working and how many are doing nothing. The 2024 report lists a reduction in the NEET figure as an aim, and no NEET figure has ever been published.

16 year old island participation rates in Post-16 (full time education and apprenticeships)

Committee for Education, Sport & Culture, Education Annual Report 2025, 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Post-16 participation rate and School Leaver Destinations infographic

2023/24 and 2022 leavers

The data that would answer it

A NEET count and rate at a 1 November census point by age, with destination categories, published in the same academic year.

What is known: Education

Never collected38 of 59

What did nine years of secondary reorganisation cost?

The statistic not collated

A cumulative cost for the programme, including the models that were approved and abandoned.

Why the question cannot be answered

Four capital headlines exist, £110m, £157.3m, £54m delegated and £88m, but they describe different scopes at different dates, most superseding one another, and must not be added. The design and feasibility money spent on the abandoned two-school and Lisia models between 2016 and 2021 was spent when the States wrote capital spending off in the year incurred, so it left nothing to impair once assets began to be recognised. The only total in the public record is one sentence a committee president said in debate.

The States do not capitalise expenditure related to the purchase or construction of fixed assets. Expenditure is written off during the financial year in which it is incurred.

States of Guernsey Accounts 2021, accounting policy xvii (superseded from the 2022 Accounts)

The data that would answer it

A single reconciled statement of programme spend from the March 2018 feasibility work onward, split between models built and models abandoned, updated when the Sixth Form Centre is finally costed.

What is known: Education

Published, unusable39 of 59

Are the island’s schools sorting children by family income?

The statistic not collated

Household income and prior attainment by school, published as data.

Why the question cannot be answered

The 2025 policy letter on college funding gives equivalised median household income for five of the six secondary schools and the colleges, and shows the colleges’ intake screening by cognitive assessment, but as flat images with no data layer. Only values restated in the prose can be used, which is why one school is missing from every table built on it.

The nearest thing that exists

Median equivalised household income by school, restated in prose

2022, five secondary schools and three colleges

The data that would answer it

An annual school census table: pupils by school, by household income quintile and by prior attainment band, published as a spreadsheet rather than a chart image.

What is known: Education

Committee for Home Affairs

Home Affairs

Is crime rising relative to the people here, do sentences work, and how long does justice take? The 2020 Justice Review could not assemble the data to say, and no published series has been started since.

8 unknowns · what is known
Never collected40 of 59

Is crime rising or falling relative to the number of people living here?

The statistic not collated

Recorded crime per 1,000 population, on a consistent counting basis, over time.

Why the question cannot be answered

Every Bailiwick Law Enforcement annual report gives raw counts for the current year against one prior year. No report expresses crime as a rate, and no downloadable back-series exists; the 2008-2025 run on this site was reconstructed from eleven overlapping reports. Two counting changes sit inside it, the 2018 adoption of Home Office rules and the 2021 inclusion of Border Agency offences, and the second is flagged only in a States booklet, not by the police themselves. And the population denominator is itself now three years old.

Since 2021, offences investigated by the Guernsey Border Agency (GBA) are also included in the figures.

States of Guernsey, Facts and Figures Booklet 2025, p.88, 2025

The data that would answer it

A published crime dataset back to 2008, by offence group, with a per-1,000 rate and explicit break markers, as Jersey publishes on its open-data portal.

What is known: Crime

Published, unusable41 of 59

Does prison, probation or community service actually stop people offending again?

The statistic not collated

A routine proven-reoffending rate by sentence type and release cohort.

Why the question cannot be answered

The 2020 Justice Review published two-year reconviction figures for one cohort, 30% after a community sentence and 24% after prison for 2018, and noted that three of the reoffending indicators it wanted had no data at all. Nothing has been published since. The prison’s annual report states its rehabilitation aims and gives no reoffending figure.

This data was not available to the Review team.

States of Guernsey, Justice Review Report, P.2020/54, 11 March 2020

The nearest thing that exists

Justice Review reconviction table, 2018 cohort

2018, one-off

The data that would answer it

An annual two-year proven reoffending rate by disposal, custody, community service, probation and caution, published with cohort sizes.

What is known: Crime

Never collected42 of 59

How long do victims and defendants wait for justice, and is the backlog growing?

The statistic not collated

Time from charge to disposal and outstanding caseload, for the Magistrate’s Court and the Royal Court.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Justice Review had to build its own one-off measure from raw charge data, 5.9 months from offence to completion for 2017 cases, because nothing was public. Six years on the Royal Court publishes a calendar and nothing else. Court backlogs surface only when a Bailiff or an advocate mentions one to a reporter.

Data on court processes and their timeliness is not available in the public domain.

States of Guernsey, Justice Review Report, P.2020/54, 11 March 2020

The nearest thing that exists

Justice Review, offence to completion for all 2017 cases

2017, one-off

The data that would answer it

Quarterly court statistics: receipts, disposals, open cases and median days from charge to disposal, by court and offence group.

What is known: Crime

Never collected43 of 59

Are sentences consistent and proportionate?

The statistic not collated

Sentencing outcomes by offence, sentence type, length and defendant characteristics.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Justice Review found that in the absence of data about who is sentenced and to what, the recurring complaints about inconsistency could neither be confirmed nor dismissed, and that the Bailiwick had never systematically reviewed its sentencing legislation. The police publish charge and caution counts only. Individual judgments are published; nothing aggregates them.

In the absence of data about the characteristics of those sentenced and about sentencing outcomes it is not possible to determine whether these views are borne out in reality

States of Guernsey, Justice Review Report, P.2020/54, 11 March 2020

The nearest thing that exists

Bailiwick Law Enforcement Annual Report, crime outcomes table

2024, charges and cautions only

The data that would answer it

An annual sentencing table: disposals by offence group, custody rate, average custodial length, and the baseline analysis the Review recommended.

What is known: Crime

Never collected44 of 59

How much domestic abuse actually happens, not just how much is reported?

The statistic not collated

Population prevalence of domestic abuse from a victimisation survey.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Committee’s own strategy says the recorded figures understate the problem because most victims never report. The instrument that would measure the real level, a repeated crime and victimisation survey, was last run in 2018. Since the new domestic abuse law took effect in 2025 the police publish offences, arrests and protection notices, all of which measure reporting, not prevalence.

But the problem is much bigger than shown in official statistics, as many victims and children do not tell anyone about the abuse, and they are not recorded as crimes.

Committee for Home Affairs, Domestic Abuse and Sexual Violence Strategy 2022-2025, September 2022

The nearest thing that exists

Guernsey Crime and Justice Survey

2018, last wave

The data that would answer it

A repeated victimisation survey module on the Crime Survey for England and Wales model, giving prevalence in the last twelve months by sex and age.

What is known: Crime

Published, unusable45 of 59

Where and why do people get hurt on Guernsey’s roads, and is enforcement reducing it?

The statistic not collated

Collisions by cause, location, speed and road-user type, with a casualty rate per head.

Why the question cannot be answered

The police publish raw counts and casualty severity for the current year against one prior year, 331 collisions in 2025 with one death. The consultants the States commissioned on road traffic offences devoted a chapter to the feasibility of capturing statistics at all, and made data improvement and the capture and reporting of statistics formal recommendations.

RECOMMENDATION 8: Capture and Reporting of Statistics

AECOM for the States of Guernsey, Road Traffic and Driver Offences Final Options Report, released under FOI, October 2024, released 6 October 2025

The nearest thing that exists

Guernsey Police Annual Report, collisions and casualties

2025, against 2024 only

The data that would answer it

A STATS19-style collision dataset with location, contributory factors and casualty severity, published annually with rates per 100,000 population.

What is known: Transport

Never collected46 of 59

How fast do the fire service and the 999 control room actually respond?

The statistic not collated

Emergency call-answer, turnout and attendance times against a published standard.

Why the question cannot be answered

The UK inspectorate that reviewed Bailiwick Law Enforcement in 2022 found the joint emergency control centre had no performance framework and did not routinely monitor how long 999 calls took to answer or how many were abandoned. The fire service’s annual report counts incidents by type and time of day; the only response target it reports against is for home fire-safety visits.

JESCC does not have a performance management framework. Important management information, such as the average time taken to answer emergency calls and the volume of abandoned emergency calls, is not monitored routinely.

His Majesty’s Inspectorate of Constabulary and Fire & Rescue Services, Bailiwick of Guernsey Law Enforcement: capability and capacity, 21 October 2022

The data that would answer it

Annual distribution of first-appliance attendance times to fires and collisions against a published standard, and 999 call-answer times from the control centre.

What is known: Crime

Never collected47 of 59

How many people come to Guernsey on permits each year, in which jobs, and how many stay?

The statistic not collated

Employment permits issued by type, sector and outcome, as a published series.

Why the question cannot be answered

Population management is the island’s main lever on who lives here, and the numbers behind it emerge only when asked for. An FOI answer for 2022 gave 3,061 applications and an estimated approval rate above 98%. The population management pages link no statistics, and the Electronic Census tables that showed residence status are suspended.

In 2022, Guernsey received 3,061 Employment Permit applications. It is estimated that over 98% of these were approved.

Committee for Home Affairs, FOI response on employment permits, 14 August 2023

The nearest thing that exists

Annual Electronic Census Report, population by residence status

31 March 2023, suspended thereafter

The data that would answer it

A quarterly table of permits granted, refused and expired by type and role, with the number in force and the share of holders who later gain permanent residence.

What is known: Quality of Life

Committee for Housing

Housing

How many homes does the island need, how many is it building, and what are tenants actually paying? Need is modelled on a survey from 2011, delivery has not been reported annually since 2021, and rents are measured from adverts.

5 unknowns · what is known
Suspended48 of 59

How many homes, of what size and tenure, does Guernsey actually need?

The statistic not collated

A household survey of housing need. The last was in 2011.

Why the question cannot be answered

The housing pages still say a Housing Needs Survey is organised every five years, and list three: 2001, 2006 and 2011. Need is now set by a desk model, the States Strategic Housing Indicator, whose 2023 baseline the States’ own monitoring report says rested mainly on household composition data from 2017. The island is planning 313 homes a year on a survey older than its secondary-school pupils.

the 2023 housing need output (and the resulting SSHI) was mainly based on household composition data from 2017, which was the most accurate available at that time.

States of Guernsey, States Strategic Housing Indicator: 2024 Monitoring, 2024

The nearest thing that exists

States Strategic Housing Indicator 2023 to 2027, 1,565 units

2023 model, re-run 2024

The data that would answer it

A repeated island-wide housing needs survey, or a household-composition extract from the Rolling Electronic Census, published on a fixed cycle alongside the model.

What is known: Economy

Suspended49 of 59

Is the island building the homes it says it needs, and where is the pipeline stalling?

The statistic not collated

An annual reconciled report of permissions, starts and completions against the housing indicator.

Why the question cannot be answered

The Island Development Plan’s Annual Monitoring Report did that job. The archive page lists 2017, 2018, 2020 and 2021 editions and nothing since. Quarterly monitoring continues but lags by up to a year. Completions of around 120 homes a year against a need of over 300 became public in a land-supply update in 2026, and the housing president said that year there had never been a single joined-up picture of delivery.

The annual monitoring reports can be found below when available.

Development & Planning Authority, Island Development Plan Annual Monitoring Reports

The data that would answer it

The Annual Monitoring Report reinstated, or an annual delivery scorecard of completions by tenure and bedroom count against the indicator.

What is known: Economy

Published, unusable50 of 59

What are tenants actually paying, and is renting becoming unaffordable?

The statistic not collated

Achieved rents for new and existing tenancies, Local and Open Market.

Why the question cannot be answered

The quarterly rental figure, £2,138 a month in mid-2026, is a mix-adjusted average of advertised asking rents for Local Market properties, built from web and classified adverts on samples the bulletin says are too small to smooth. It measures what landlords ask of the next tenant, not what a quarter of the island’s households are paying. No Open Market rental series exists at all.

The Local Market mix adjusted average rental price is a measure of the average monthly cost of properties advertised for rent in Guernsey.

Guernsey Quarterly Residential Property Prices Bulletin Q1 2026, section 8, 12 May 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Local Market mix-adjusted average advertised rent

Q2 2026, quarterly since 2010

The data that would answer it

A tenancy registration or deposit dataset yielding achieved rents by bedroom count and market, as the residential tenancies work has proposed.

What is known: Economy

Frozen51 of 59

Can an ordinary earner afford an ordinary home?

The statistic not collated

A current house-price-to-earnings ratio.

Why the question cannot be answered

The property prices bulletin still carries the table, but it has not moved since Q3 2024, when it stood at 14.1 times median earnings, because the earnings denominator comes from the suspended quarterly bulletin. House prices are published on time every quarter; the ratio that makes them meaningful is not.

The bulletin states the table has not been updated since Q3 2024 because more recent earnings data is unavailable.

Guernsey Quarterly Residential Property Prices Bulletin, Table 9.2.1

The nearest thing that exists

Price to annual advertised rent, 23.3 times

Q2 2026, a live substitute on a different basis

The data that would answer it

The earnings series back, so the ratio can be brought forward from Q3 2024, and a first-time-buyer variant using lower-quartile prices against lower-quartile earnings.

What is known: Economy

Never collected52 of 59

How much of the housing stock is held as second homes or holiday lets rather than housing residents?

The statistic not collated

A count of second homes and holiday lets by market and parish.

Why the question cannot be answered

The States’ own housing-market consultants could only reach the figure by subtraction, dwellings minus households minus vacant units, and concluded about one home in twelve is not available to the market for reasons they could not separate. The annual stock bulletin now reports the share of units whose owner’s address is outside Guernsey, 1.5%, which is a different and narrower thing.

This suggests that about one in 12 homes are not available to the market. Causes will include: ‘second’ homes, homes for holiday lets, homes otherwise unavailable, homes not matched to households.

Arc4 for the States of Guernsey, Guernsey Housing Market Review and Problem Identification Report, para 3.4, February 2023

The data that would answer it

A principal-residence flag on the cadastre or the Rolling Electronic Census, published annually by market and parish.

What is known: Economy

Committee for Environment & Infrastructure

Environment & Infrastructure

Is the island shifting out of cars, can households afford to heat their homes, and which coast floods first? The transport strategy has no baseline, fuel poverty was measured once, and the flood maps use 2009 projections.

7 unknowns · what is known
Never collected54 of 59

Is Guernsey really one of the most car-dependent places on earth, or is the register inflated?

The statistic not collated

Vehicles actually in circulation, and households with and without a car.

Why the question cannot be answered

The register showed 90,794 vehicles in August 2025 for a population of about 64,000, but there is no duty to notify when a vehicle is scrapped, so the register cannot be reconciled to the fleet; the States estimate about 46,000 private vehicles are actually in use. Vehicle-owning households cannot be calculated from the data held. Every headline about cars per head rests on a number the States say is an estimate.

This is only an estimation because at this time, there is no legal requirement for Driver & Vehicle Licencing to be notified if a vehicle is deregistered

States of Guernsey FOI response, Guernsey’s vehicle use rate, 20 August 2025

The data that would answer it

A deregistration or off-road notification duty, an insurance cross-check, and a household car-ownership question in the community survey.

What is known: Transport

Published, unusable55 of 59

Are the island’s roads getting better or worse for the money spent on them?

The statistic not collated

A network condition measure updated after each survey.

Why the question cannot be answered

The only published result is from 2013, when 6% of roads were found in very poor condition. Surveys were said to run roughly every four years and a 2017 survey was announced, but no later result has been published and the roads page still cites 2013. The resurfacing programme is published as a list of roads, with no condition score behind it.

A condition survey of all the island’s roads in 2013 found that 6% were in very poor condition and in immediate need of resurfacing

States of Guernsey, Roads

The nearest thing that exists

Roads Resurfacing Programme

2026, a list of roads

The data that would answer it

Publication of each condition survey’s results by condition band, with a resurfacing backlog estimate in miles and pounds.

What is known: Transport

Published, unusable56 of 59

What do roadworks cost the island, and who causes them?

The statistic not collated

Road-closure counts, durations and costs, by utility and by road, as a series.

Why the question cannot be answered

Everything known comes from Freedom of Information responses. The permit-cost figures cover all Trafficworx permit types and cannot be reconciled with the closure counts in the raw activity log obtained separately. The admin and staffing cost breakdown by year was withheld as commercially sensitive under exemption 2.9.

The nearest thing that exists

Trafficworx permit costs, £210,000 to £280,000 a year

2021 to 2025, all permit types

The data that would answer it

An open Trafficworx feed: every permit with type, road, promoter, start and end dates and cost recovered, refreshed monthly.

What is known: Transport

Published, unusable57 of 59

How many households cannot afford to heat their homes as tariffs rise?

The statistic not collated

A repeated official fuel-poverty measure.

Why the question cannot be answered

Fuel poverty has been estimated once, by consultants for the States’ Trading Supervisory Board in 2023: around 17% of households spending more than 6% of disposable income on electricity, using 2019 spending data at 2022 tariffs, electricity only. The consultants said they used an expenditure measure because of limited data, and that the result could not be compared with other jurisdictions. Standing charges and tariffs have risen sharply since.

We use an expenditure-based measure due to limited data availability.

Frontier Economics for the States’ Trading Supervisory Board, reported in "Fuel poverty measure could assist policy making", 26 May 2023

The nearest thing that exists

Frontier Economics estimate, 17% of households

2019 spending at 2022 tariffs, one-off

The data that would answer it

An annual fuel-poverty measure combining Household Expenditure Survey data with tariffs and heating type, on the UK’s low-income low-energy-efficiency definition.

What is known: Economy

Never collected58 of 59

How much of the island’s emissions cut is real, and how much has been exported down the cable?

The statistic not collated

A consumption-based emissions inventory, including imported electricity and international travel.

Why the question cannot be answered

The annual greenhouse gas bulletin is sound and is published on time, but it is territorial by design: it counts only emissions released in Guernsey. About nine-tenths of the island’s electricity is imported from France, and the emissions from generating it fall outside the inventory, as does international aviation and shipping fuel. The bulletin says so itself. The headline cut since 1990 therefore cannot be separated from the switch to imports.

The emissions inventory is "source based", which means it reflects only emissions released from Guernsey. As such, emissions resulting from the generation of electricity in Europe, which is imported for consumption in Guernsey, are not included.

States of Guernsey, Guernsey Annual Greenhouse Gas Bulletin 2024, 3 March 2026

The nearest thing that exists

Guernsey Electricity carbon reporting, imported share and lifecycle intensity

2021 to 2025, the operator’s own figures

The data that would answer it

A published scope-2 line for imported electricity and a consumption-footprint estimate alongside the territorial inventory each year.

What is known: Economy

Published, unusable59 of 59

Which parts of the coast will flood, when, and are the defences fit to stop it?

The statistic not collated

Coastal flood-risk mapping on current sea-level projections, and published condition ratings for the sea walls.

Why the question cannot be answered

The only flood-risk study is from 2012 and, by the States’ own description, uses sea-level research issued in 2009. Two generations of UK climate projections have been published since. Sea-wall condition inspections have run every three years since 2016, but the scores are not published; the 2026 coastal works list still includes building the asset register.

This study takes into account research on predicted sea level rise issued in 2009 by the UK Climate Impacts Programme.

States of Guernsey, Coastal Defence and Management

The nearest thing that exists

Coastal Defence Priority List 2025 to 2028

2025, works by defence unit, no condition scores

The data that would answer it

Flood-risk mapping re-run on current projections, and the weighted condition score for each defence unit published after every inspection cycle.

What is known: Transport

How to read this page

What the status badges mean

The status is part of the finding. A suspended series is a decision; a series that was never collected is a blind spot; a figure that exists only in a written answer is knowledge the States hold and do not publish.

Suspended

A series the States used to publish and have stopped, with no announced restart date.

9 of 59

Frozen

A published figure that cannot move because the input it depends on has been suspended.

1 of 59

Never collected

Never collected, or never published as a statistic in any form.

23 of 59

Published, unusable

Something is published, but as a one-off, an incompatible pair, an image, a whole-island average, or an answer to a written question, so it cannot answer the question over time.

26 of 59

Sources States of Guernsey Data and Analysis, Publication Release Calendar 2026; States of Guernsey, "National statistics publication dates released for 2026"; States of Guernsey, "Work continues to restore quarterly publications of population, employment and earnings figures"; States of Guernsey Data and Analysis, all publications; States of Guernsey Accounts; Scrutiny Management Committee letters of comment; Freedom of Information disclosure log. Each entry links its own evidence document inline. This register is Bridgehead’s compilation and will be wrong in one direction only if the States publish something listed here: tell us and it comes off the page, with the correction logged. Nothing here is a criticism of the Data and Analysis Service, whose calendar is the most candid document cited on this site.