AN INDEPENDENT RECORD OF EVERY PROMISE MADE IN THE STATES OF GUERNSEY
PRE-LAUNCH FEEDBACK PHASE — Public launch: Monday 24 August 2026
04 AugCorrected a deputy's Vacant Property Levy verdict — a co-sponsored amendment had been wrongly described as part of their PIT package.04 AugAdded a Deputy's Response field so deputies can add context to a ruling without changing the ruling itself.05 AugCorrected a deputy's GST promise wording ("avoid the worst of GST", not "avoid introducing GST"), and added a chamber-wide attendance flag.05 AugAdded Forward Guernsey's adopted party-manifesto pledges to its members' promise registers.07 AugExcused a deputy's six absences on 25 June (a single half-day illness), correcting their attendance rate.10 AugCorrected several deputies' cannabis promise scores — a near-unanimous procedural vote to withdraw a Requête (its lead sponsor faced an unrelated conduct complaint) had wrongly counted as opposing cannabis reform for every deputy who voted for it. The sponsor's own link stays scored, since it was their own conduct in question.10 AugCorrected a deputy's Notable Achievements — added the 2025 States surplus figure their profile was missing, and rewrote a campaign-group credit to past tense since no current coverage shows it's still active.12 AugAdded Hansard context a deputy supplied to a promise's adverse explanation — her vote set a possible future GST's rate and scope, but didn't itself commit her to introducing GST.12 AugRemoved an unrelated citation from a deputy's airport promise, and refreshed another promise's verdict to reflect a July amendment discarded without debate.12 AugCorrected a deputy's GST promise from mixed to kept — a downstream vote on GST's rate and scope had been wrongly weighted against a genuine vote to rescind GST entirely.12 AugLoaded the 22 divisions from the 15-17 July Tax Reform sitting, which a fault in our reading of the States’ voting record had left out of every deputy’s page, re-tested every promise against them, and put all 77 "voted against their own promise" findings back through editorial review — 41 were withdrawn as too indirect or too debatable to publish.12 AugCorrected two text errors on a deputy's page: an explanation left describing a vote's old, inverted direction, and a procedural vote misdated by a day (Hansard puts it on 16 July).12 AugReviewed a deputy's "mixed" GST reading raised in pre-launch review and confirmed it as an intentional distinction, not a bug - their promise is narrower than a flat anti-GST pledge.13 AugRestored the correct verdict on eleven promises across eleven deputies — after the previous day’s review withdrew a promise’s adverse findings, the recalculation counted votes the page itself marks as too partial to score, pushing verdicts to broken or mixed.13 AugCorrected a deputy's GST promise for the same downstream-vote reason as the day before, and replaced the AI-paraphrased responses shown in that deputy's name with their verbatim wording, after one paraphrase introduced an error of its own.14 AugCorrected a second, missed reference to a procedural vote's date on a deputy's page, which had left one page dating the same vote both 16 and 17 July.14 AugReconsidered that same GST promise two days later - a genuine scoring contradiction between two identically-worded amendments, plus a second look at a rate-setting vote, moved it from mixed to kept.15 AugExcused a deputy's 28 separate "Absent" ballots on 24-25 June - all one surgery-recovery absence, not a pattern of non-attendance.04 AugCorrected a deputy's Vacant Property Levy verdict — a co-sponsored amendment had been wrongly described as part of their PIT package.04 AugAdded a Deputy's Response field so deputies can add context to a ruling without changing the ruling itself.05 AugCorrected a deputy's GST promise wording ("avoid the worst of GST", not "avoid introducing GST"), and added a chamber-wide attendance flag.05 AugAdded Forward Guernsey's adopted party-manifesto pledges to its members' promise registers.07 AugExcused a deputy's six absences on 25 June (a single half-day illness), correcting their attendance rate.10 AugCorrected several deputies' cannabis promise scores — a near-unanimous procedural vote to withdraw a Requête (its lead sponsor faced an unrelated conduct complaint) had wrongly counted as opposing cannabis reform for every deputy who voted for it. The sponsor's own link stays scored, since it was their own conduct in question.10 AugCorrected a deputy's Notable Achievements — added the 2025 States surplus figure their profile was missing, and rewrote a campaign-group credit to past tense since no current coverage shows it's still active.12 AugAdded Hansard context a deputy supplied to a promise's adverse explanation — her vote set a possible future GST's rate and scope, but didn't itself commit her to introducing GST.12 AugRemoved an unrelated citation from a deputy's airport promise, and refreshed another promise's verdict to reflect a July amendment discarded without debate.12 AugCorrected a deputy's GST promise from mixed to kept — a downstream vote on GST's rate and scope had been wrongly weighted against a genuine vote to rescind GST entirely.12 AugLoaded the 22 divisions from the 15-17 July Tax Reform sitting, which a fault in our reading of the States’ voting record had left out of every deputy’s page, re-tested every promise against them, and put all 77 "voted against their own promise" findings back through editorial review — 41 were withdrawn as too indirect or too debatable to publish.12 AugCorrected two text errors on a deputy's page: an explanation left describing a vote's old, inverted direction, and a procedural vote misdated by a day (Hansard puts it on 16 July).12 AugReviewed a deputy's "mixed" GST reading raised in pre-launch review and confirmed it as an intentional distinction, not a bug - their promise is narrower than a flat anti-GST pledge.13 AugRestored the correct verdict on eleven promises across eleven deputies — after the previous day’s review withdrew a promise’s adverse findings, the recalculation counted votes the page itself marks as too partial to score, pushing verdicts to broken or mixed.13 AugCorrected a deputy's GST promise for the same downstream-vote reason as the day before, and replaced the AI-paraphrased responses shown in that deputy's name with their verbatim wording, after one paraphrase introduced an error of its own.14 AugCorrected a second, missed reference to a procedural vote's date on a deputy's page, which had left one page dating the same vote both 16 and 17 July.14 AugReconsidered that same GST promise two days later - a genuine scoring contradiction between two identically-worded amendments, plus a second look at a rate-setting vote, moved it from mixed to kept.15 AugExcused a deputy's 28 separate "Absent" ballots on 24-25 June - all one surgery-recovery absence, not a pattern of non-attendance.
Guernsey · Overview
Where Guernsey actually stands.
The headline numbers behind every deputy’s promises, the problems piling up, and the genuine strengths still working in the island’s favour.
The problems
Where Guernsey is falling behind
Population, healthcare, housing and the public finances, measured against the island's own targets and its closest competitors, Jersey and the Isle of Man.
Projected population fall, 2034→2065
-0
Total population is projected to peak at ~64,000 in 2034, then fall to ~59,000 by 2065 — and the working-age share (school-leaving to state pension age) is projected to shrink every year even before that, well ahead of the headline total turning down.
States of Guernsey Data & Analysis, Long-term population projection, 2024 · gov.gg
Elective surgery on-target
0%
Down from 84% in 2018. The specialist-referral waiting list is running at 61% against the States’ own 95% target — HSC cites a shortage of junior doctors and staff accommodation (linked to the housing crisis below) as root causes.
Health & Social Care performance data, reported by Bailiwick Express / Island FM, 2025
Affordable homes added, 2022–24
0
Just one affordable home was added to the island’s housing stock across those three years. The States’ own Housing Plan calls the shortage “one of the most pressing domestic challenges facing Guernsey.”
States of Guernsey Housing Plan; Guernsey Press, 29 Apr 2025
Long-term structural funding gap
£0m
Down from £58m the year before, but still a real, ongoing shortfall between States income and expenditure — separate from (and not solved by) 2025’s one-off accounting surplus.
States of Guernsey 2025 Accounts commentary, reported by Island FM / Guernsey Press, 2026
Real growth per year, 2013–2023, vs. Jersey
-0.0pts/yr
Guernsey grew 0.6% a year in real terms, against Jersey's 2.4% and the OECD average of 2%. Had Guernsey matched Jersey's pace since 2013, 2023's real GDP would have been ~£683m higher — equivalent to ~£109m of spending power at the States' own spend-to-GDP ratio, or about 2.9× the cost of rebuilding Les Beaucamps High School.
States of Guernsey GVA/GDP Bulletin 2023; Statistics Jersey; World Bank (OECD members) — illustrative counterfactual, not a forecast
The positives
What's still working
Not everything is going wrong. These are the genuine strengths the island can still point to, with the caveats that matter attached.
States' 2025 operating surplus
£0m
Against a budgeted £20m deficit — income exceeded expectations and investment gains added a further £68m on top. Caveat: substantially driven by one-off items, including a large prior-year bank tax repayment, so not a repeatable run-rate.
States of Guernsey 2025 Accounts; Island FM / Guernsey Press, 2026
Unemployment
0.0%
241 people wholly unemployed, down 0.2 points on the year before — among the lowest rates of any jurisdiction Guernsey compares itself to.
States of Guernsey Quarterly Population, Employment and Earnings Bulletin, Sep 2024
Financial services, share of GDP
0%
£1,304m of 2023’s £3,488m total GDP — a deep, resilient specialism that still anchors the economy despite the growth slowdown shown on the Economy tab.
States of Guernsey GVA/GDP Bulletin 2023 · gov.gg/gdp
Standard corporate tax rate
0%
0% for most companies, 10% for specific regulated sectors — matching Jersey and the Isle of Man, and still the core reason financial services chooses to base itself here.
Guernsey's Zero-10 corporate tax regime, States of Guernsey